Abstract:
: Any power system needs a comprehensive study. The reliability of the system is a must, where the appropriate loss term is
one of the required terms. In the present study, the Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) is targeted. In addition, the LOLE is estimated
using the advanced Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method. The LOLE and the Capacity Margin Probabilities
(CMP) are calculated. The main target of the present study is to avoid the black-out of the system which is the novelty of the study for
the considered power system which helps for a high reliable system also. Furthermore, the satisfaction of the economic development
for the countries resulted using the developed model and the demand energy will be reached for different sectors at a required period.
The results obtained for any considered country are reducing the capital investment and helping to limit the installed equipment plus
the expectation of the load. Finally, the Neuro-Fuzzy is one of the most accurate methods. It is applied in the planning and development
of electric power systems.
